How to Calculate ICM in Texas Hold'em

The Independent Chip Model (ICM) is a way of calculating the right decision when playing the bubble in Texas Hold'em tournaments. The mathematical theory might appear daunting, but understanding ICM is not difficult and it is a valuable tool for any aspiring poker player.

Instructions

    • 1

      Take a deep breath if your math skills are poor. At the end of this article will be a link to ICM calculators that do most of the work for you.

    • 2

      Understand that the main idea of ICM is calculating your probability of winning the tournament based on the number of chips you have compared to those remaining in the tournament. ICM is not a crystal ball that tells you the right move.

    • 3

      Open up an ICM calculator and plug in the required data. You will be given the probability that going all-in will result in either a positive or negative expectation of gaining equity in the long run.

    • 4

      When you receive your probability from the ICM calculator you must balance this information with the cards you are holding. Simply because you have a good expectation does not mean you should move all your chips into the middle of the table. This is especially true when facing an all-in bet and deciding whether or not to call. You must ask yourself what your opponent is likely holding.

    • 5

      Be careful when a short stack is in the blinds and automatically goes all-in. While ICM may suggest to call, the short stack's decision is forced and the mathematical logic behind ICM goes out the window.

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