Step1
When GDP is on the decline, wait until it reaches 2% quarterly growth. At this point, buy high multiple tech stocks such as Google, Yahoo, and Ebay. A high multiple stock refers to how much a stock is valued. A higher multiple means that the earnings of the stock are valued more. It is found by dividing the total earnings of stock by the earnings per share of a stock.
Step2
At 1%, buy bank and financial stocks.
Step3
Between 1% and 0% growth, the Federal Reserve starts to lower interest rates to stimulate the economy. At this point you should be buying retailers like Walmart and Target. You should also be buying housing and auto stocks.
Step4
When the economy hits its lowest point, around -1% growth, you should buy low multiple tech stocks like IBM and INTC. This is the also the point where the FED goes through the last of its credit easing campaigns.
Step5
Once the economy gets back to 1% growth, the FED should be neutral on interest rates. This is when you should buy paper and chemical stocks like IP, DOW, and DD.
Step6
At 2% GDP growth, sell medicine and supermarket stocks like Proctor and Gamble, KMB, and MRK.
Step7
Once the economy gets up to 3% growth, you should be buying "smokestack" stocks like MMM, DE, and IR. This is also the point where the Fed starts to tighten rates.
Step8
At 4% GDP growth, you should be selling financial, housing, retailers, and auto stocks that you bought when the economy was declining. This phase should be marked by a second FED credit tightening.
Step9
Between 4-5%, you should buy metal and mineral stocks.
Step10
After the economic peak at around 4-5%, you should start selling paper and chemical stocks. Between 4 and 3% GDP as the economy starts to decline again, buy up medicine and supermarket stocks because they are stable during a recession. at 2-3%, sell the smokestack stocks.
Step11
The cycle starts again.