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Step 1
Look for rookies who have posted great minor league numbers or rocketed through a farm system to the major leagues. This didn't happen out of luck.
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Step 2
Study the pitchers' BABIP (Batting Average of Balls in Play). This helps to determine if they were lucky or unlucky. If a pitcher posts similar BABIPs in a 3-year span, but has a bad W-L and ERA, it was likely a fluke.
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Step 3
Look for those who signed onto a new team; pitchers in pitcher-friendly ballparks or batters in hitter-friendly ones.
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Step 4
Look for those traded in accordance with Step 3.
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Step 5
Look for players coming off of injuries; they will be avoided, but could prove to be high-reward players.
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Step 6
Study the injury history of players as a prerequisite to Step 4. The trade could have been made due to something in the player's history that is undesirable, injury-wise.
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Step 7
Study the strategy of certain managers; new managers may want more SBs or a different lineup that is more beneficial to certain players.













